Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:14:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4f4b…0b44
sports · 901 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$5,007 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,411 · open −$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$282
Realized+$4,411
Unrealized−$57
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses509 / 390
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$717
Open positions2
Markets (closed)899 / 901
History coverage70d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day37.4
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 899 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$460
7 days+$4,163
14 days+$2,560
30 days+$4,840
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 51¢ 100¢ $143 $282 +$139 (+97%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 36¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,116 −$681 -61%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,503 +$423 +28%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $100 +$100 +100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1,300 $0 -0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,302 +$454 +35%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $147 −$147 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $288 −$288 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,712 +$470 +28%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,706 +$413 +24%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$86 +863%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1,704 +$150 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $657 −$657 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $200 +$539 +269%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $301 +$149 +50%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $922 +$339 +37%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $201 −$201 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $1,381 +$80 +6%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,303 +$223 +17%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,301 +$154 +12%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $62 −$62 -100%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $100 −$5 -5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,515 +$697 +46%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $200 −$5 -2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,001 +$294 +29%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,002 +$67 +7%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,319 +$1,185 +90%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,005 +$1,115 +111%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $250 −$180 -72%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $501 −$12 -2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,020 +$317 +31%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $601 +$242 +40%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $200 +$202 +101%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $200 +$75 +38%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $100 +$28 +28%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $453 +$120 +26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $454 +$175 +39%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $80 −$80 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 05 $106 +$69 +64%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $98 −$98 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $100 +$81 +81%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $537 +$52 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$3,832
other 5% +$596
weather 0% −$82
crypto 0% −$36
world 0% +$46
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $100 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $100 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $794 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $1,678 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $433 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $1,003 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 49¢ $795 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $501 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $501 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 32¢ $100 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 61¢ $435 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $801 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $205 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $9 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 SELL Under 99¢ $194 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $631 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,041 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $238 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 77¢ $501 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $1,002 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 49¢ $100 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $25 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $1,438 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $223 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $25 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1,302 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 23¢ $198 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $310 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $13 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $20 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +17.9% +6.7% 55% 45% +6.1%
≤30d 316 +2.3% -7.5% 59% 48% -2.1%
≤90d 899 +0.5% -9.1% 57% 49% -3.4%
all 899 +0.5% -9.1% 57% 49% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 49% -3.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 42% -12.7%
15% -25.7% 34% -21.1%
20% -33.0% 24% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $281.97 · official $281.97 (match) · 3500 history records