trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 80% | 10% | -6.3% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 78% | 11% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 78% | 11% | -7.5% |
| all | 18 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 78% | 11% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.1% | 11% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -16.0% | 0% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 0% | -24.4% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 0% | -31.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 18 | $36 | +$1 | +3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $11 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | Jun 18 | $648 | +$19 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 17 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 17 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Jun 16 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $54 | +$1 | +3% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 15 | $53 | +$10 | +19% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 12 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el | Jun 10 | $182 | −$3 | -1% |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec | Jun 10 | $293 | −$4 | -1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary | Jun 06 | $56 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 04 | $148 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $8 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 20 | Jun 04 | $210 | +$22 | +11% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $673 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |