trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -45.8% | -50.9% | 30% | 30% | -29.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -28.4% | -35.3% | 36% | 36% | -11.9% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -28.0% | -34.9% | 38% | 38% | -17.9% |
| all | 13 | -28.0% | -34.9% | 38% | 38% | -17.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.9% | 38% | -17.9% |
| 10% | -41.1% | 31% | -25.7% |
| 15% | -46.8% | 31% | -32.9% |
| 20% | -52.0% | 23% | -39.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $62 | −$38 (-38%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | +$18 | +71% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 24 | $31 | −$5 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Jun 24 | $31 | −$30 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Jun 24 | $31 | −$5 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | +$17 | +67% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $154 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Jun 21 | $322 | −$22 | -7% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jun 17 | $289 | +$32 | +11% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 11 | $116 | +$168 | +145% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 14? | Apr 13 | $142 | −$138 | -98% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 12 | $100 | +$49 | +49% |