Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:19:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4f77…23e6
crypto · 141 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$248 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$248 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$248
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses121 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)141 / 141
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day194.3
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$248
7 days+$248
14 days+$248
30 days+$248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$248
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $5 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $6 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 +6.0% -4.1% 86% 33% +1.7%
≤30d 141 +6.0% -4.1% 86% 33% +1.7%
≤90d 141 +6.0% -4.1% 86% 33% +1.7%
all 141 +6.0% -4.1% 86% 33% +1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover194.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 33% +1.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 20% -8.0%
15% -21.7% 13% -16.9%
20% -29.4% 7% -25.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 403 history records