trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +45.3% | +31.5% | 62% | 50% | +114.5% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 50% | 39% | +40.5% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +17.8% | +6.6% | 46% | 36% | +28.4% |
| all | 28 | +17.8% | +6.6% | 46% | 36% | +28.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.6% | 36% | +28.4% |
| 10% | -3.6% | 36% | +16.1% |
| 15% | -12.9% | 36% | +4.9% |
| 20% | -21.5% | 25% | -5.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+7%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $22 | −$3 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $91 | +$86 | +94% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $30 | +$14 | +46% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $31 | +$96 | +304% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$110 | +216% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$197 | +392% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $10 | +$31 | +307% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $123 | −$101 | -82% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 07 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Jun 07 | $25 | +$2 | +7% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $296 | −$3 | -1% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $121 | +$269 | +222% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | May 22 | $32 | −$30 | -94% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 22 | $70 | −$33 | -47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | May 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | May 13 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | May 13 | $8 | +$3 | +37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | May 13 | $5 | +$2 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | May 13 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | May 13 | $5 | +$9 | +178% |