Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4fa6…8c48
crypto · 1716 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$241 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$241 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$241
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1627 / 87
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1714 / 1716
History coverage10d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day178.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 1714 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$13
14 days−$241
30 days−$241
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% +$28
other 34% −$269
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 36m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1040 -0.2% -9.7% 96% 6% -9.3%
≤30d 1714 -1.0% -10.4% 95% 7% -10.6%
≤90d 1714 -1.0% -10.4% 95% 7% -10.6%
all 1714 -1.0% -10.4% 95% 7% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover178.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 7% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 4% -19.2%
15% -26.8% 2% -27.0%
20% -34.0% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records