Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:18:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4fb1…9229
crypto · 1153 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$283 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$283 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$283
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1126 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1291 / 1153
History coverage18d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day68.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 1291 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$289
7 days−$285
14 days−$285
30 days−$283
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -201%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% +$6
other 37% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 785 -17.3% -25.1% 81% 1% -20.6%
≤30d 1291 -10.6% -19.1% 87% 3% -16.2%
≤90d 1291 -10.6% -19.1% 87% 3% -16.2%
all 1291 -10.6% -19.1% 87% 3% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 3% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 1% -24.2%
15% -33.9% 0% -31.5%
20% -40.4% 0% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records