trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 17 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Jun 17 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 17 | $955 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 17 | $945 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? | May 23 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | May 23 | $42 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 | May 23 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 21 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | May 21 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 20 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 20 | $982 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | May 20 | $916 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 19 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 19 | $970 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 19 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 19 | $922 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $935 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 18 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close | May 18 | $882 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 18 | $945 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $155 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 31 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 31 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Mar 26 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | Mar 26 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Mar 26 | $24 | $0 | -0% |