Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:50:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x500a…a800
crypto · 354 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$49,185 +137%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,284 · open −$130
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$4,284
Unrealized−$130
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses218 / 140
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)358 / 354
History coverage39d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day80.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 358 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$347
14 days−$2,496
30 days−$2,002
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $120 $1 −$119 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $66 +$158 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 05 $81 +$179 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 04 $30 +$32 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Jun 04 $61 +$381 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET Jun 04 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 03 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET Jun 03 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET Jun 02 $24 +$35 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 02 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 02 $1,020 −$1,020 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 02 $342 −$342 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 02 $550 −$550 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 02 $214 −$214 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 02 $130 +$190 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 02 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $369 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 02 $93 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 02 $208 +$179 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 02 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 02 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 02 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Jun 01 $399 −$399 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 29 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 29 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9AM ET May 28 $219 −$219 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET May 28 $183 +$587 +320%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET May 27 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET May 26 $141 +$1,078 +763%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 26 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET May 22 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 22 $27 +$34 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 21 $54 +$50 +92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$4,106
other 1% −$189
sports 0% −$118
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 93¢ $8 55m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 94¢ $8 55m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $48 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $72 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $66 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $61 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -72.1% -74.7% 12% 6% -62.8%
≤30d 58 -8.2% -17.0% 33% 28% -35.7%
≤90d 358 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 23% -20.4%
all 358 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 23% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 23% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 18% -28.0%
15% -30.1% 15% -35.0%
20% -37.0% 15% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.86 · official $0.65 (match) · 3500 history records