Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:34:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
50 0x5010…6f49 crypto 1427 markets active 2d ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (188 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,047 (-7%) realized −$2,047 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate76%1131W / 349L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day187.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,604
7 days−$2,102
14 days−$2,883
30 days−$2,842
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,430
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (188 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 -21.1% -28.6% 65% 18% -32.1%
≤30d 1480 -5.0% -14.1% 76% 29% -18.4%
≤90d 1480 -5.0% -14.1% 76% 29% -18.4%
all 1480 -5.0% -14.1% 76% 29% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover187.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 29% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 13% -26.2%
15% -29.8% 7% -33.3%
20% -36.7% 5% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$24 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,047
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1131 / 349
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1480 / 1427
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day187.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1480 Trades
no open positions (146 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $69 −$55 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$9 -151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$7 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $29 −$55 -189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $78 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $85 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $45 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $77 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $43 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $32 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $61 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $37 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $158 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $153 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $105 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $49 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $74 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $17 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $13 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $37 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $236 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $106 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $62 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $50 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $106 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $221 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $158 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $154 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $84 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records