Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:46:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5017…f9af
crypto · 66 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$14 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses36 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day55.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$15 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$5 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$11 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -7.2% -16.0% 55% 50% -11.0%
≤30d 66 -7.2% -16.0% 55% 50% -11.0%
≤90d 66 -7.2% -16.0% 55% 50% -11.0%
all 66 -7.2% -16.0% 55% 50% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 50% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 45% -19.5%
15% -31.4% 33% -27.3%
20% -38.1% 23% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 212 history records