Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T23:51:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
50 0x5025…ce88 crypto 851 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (187 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL −$8,236 (-23%) realized −$8,236 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +110% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +62% what you keep after slip
Net edge+62%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate55%531W / 442L
Whale WR30%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day186.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$40now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$9,382
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (187 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+90.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 625 +95.1% +76.6% 37% 37% -80.1%
≤30d 973 +110.5% +90.4% 55% 55% -26.6%
≤90d 973 +110.5% +90.4% 55% 55% -26.6%
all 973 +110.5% +90.4% 55% 55% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover186.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +90.4% 55% -26.6%
10% ← realistic here +72.2% 55% -33.7%
15% +55.6% 54% -40.1%
20% +40.3% 54% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +18% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +110% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 30% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +113% → late +108% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$40 vs −$36 · ×1.12 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.34 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$40
Realized−$8,236
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses531 / 442
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)973 / 851
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$41
Trades / day186.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 973 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$39 +8420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$10 +1998%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$10 +1999%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$10 +2002%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$10 +2002%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$50 +9723%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$34 +6640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$34 +6640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$35 +6739%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$10 +2011%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$222 +43208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$10 +2011%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$94 +18307%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$545 +106353%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$50 +9891%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$91 +18056%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$94 +18590%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$536 +107391%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$226 +45476%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$50 +10082%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$50 +10145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$460 +95581%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$526 +110876%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$547 +116592%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$203 +54491%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$524 +203019%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$251 +99390%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$552 +532017%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$394 +392509%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$117 +148162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$228 +303007%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$228 +305032%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$234 +339642%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$234 +342626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$234 +357817%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$96 +151959%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$96 +151959%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$238 +396020%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$225 +366511%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$94 +157330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$97 +188919%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 29 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 29 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $14 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.27 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records