trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 17% | 17% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 29% | 14% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 29% | 14% | -8.4% |
| all | 28 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 39% | 7% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 7% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 4% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 4% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 4% | -32.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $72 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $43 | +$5 | +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $33 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 16 | $121 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Apr 14 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in his first 100 days? | Apr 14 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days? | Apr 13 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt be out as White House Press Secretary in Trump's | Apr 12 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | Apr 11 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runof | Apr 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11? | Apr 10 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days? | Apr 10 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 09 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 69°F or higher on April 5? | Apr 07 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 04 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government? | Mar 26 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 25 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Nicholls State vs. Lamar | Mar 21 | $17 | +$12 | +75% |
| Villanova vs. Georgetown | Mar 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's joint address to Congress be less than 50 min? | Mar 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |