Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:10:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5039…a717
crypto · 725 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,727 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,726 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$1,726
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses339 / 724
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1063 / 725
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2376.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1063 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,726
7 days−$1,726
14 days−$1,726
30 days−$1,726
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 43¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 37¢ 6¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1063 -34.7% -40.9% 32% 26% -32.4%
≤30d 1063 -34.7% -40.9% 32% 26% -32.4%
≤90d 1063 -34.7% -40.9% 32% 26% -32.4%
all 1063 -34.7% -40.9% 32% 26% -32.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2376.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.9% 26% -32.4%
10% ← realistic here -46.5% 23% -38.8%
15% -51.7% 20% -44.7%
20% -56.4% 13% -50.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.02 · official $2.80 · 3500 history records