Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:54:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5054…325f
crypto · 287 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses189 / 97
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)286 / 287
History coverage40d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 286 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$3
14 days−$16
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 87¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$15
crypto 14% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 189 +1.0% -8.6% 75% 60% -8.3%
≤30d 254 +0.3% -9.2% 71% 54% -12.1%
≤90d 286 +0.0% -9.5% 66% 49% -10.2%
all 286 +0.0% -9.5% 66% 49% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 49% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 33% -18.8%
15% -26.1% 22% -26.6%
20% -33.3% 16% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.87 · official $0.87 (match) · 957 history records