Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:50:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5060…c607
crypto · 175 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$211 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$402 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$402
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses65 / 109
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)174 / 175
History coverage53d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days−$231
14 days−$218
30 days−$218
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 46¢ 19¢ $15 $6 −$9 (-59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Türkiye to win the second half? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$8 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$28 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$18 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$36 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$24 +116%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$13 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$25 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$37 +89%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $26 +$35 +134%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$9 -58%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 +$20 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$13 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Danilo be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Türkiye to win the second half? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$52 +198%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $77 +$119 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$523
sports 6% +$125
other 3% −$30
world 1% +$28
finance 0% −$1
tech 0% −$5
weather 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 +3.0% -6.8% 37% 35% -17.5%
≤30d 139 -2.1% -11.4% 40% 37% -15.9%
≤90d 174 -8.6% -17.3% 37% 36% -19.8%
all 174 -8.6% -17.3% 37% 36% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 36% -19.8%
10% -25.2% 32% -27.5%
15% -32.4% 30% -34.5%
20% -39.0% 25% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.20 · official $5.38 (match) · 387 history records