Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5061…261d
sports · 42 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$937 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$850 · open +$156
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$256
Realized+$850
Unrealized+$156
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses19 / 22
Est. fees paid−$107
Open positions1
Markets (closed)41 / 42
History coverage62d
Avg bet$141
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$140
14 days+$459
30 days+$691
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 39¢ 100¢ $100 $256 +$156 (+156%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 49¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 52¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B PCIFIC 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$1 -1%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$148 +146%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $203 +$205 +101%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $203 −$200 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $203 +$298 +146%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner May 31 $203 +$205 +101%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $203 +$216 +106%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 26 $204 −$188 -92%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner May 25 $217 +$202 +93%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner May 25 $202 +$115 +57%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner May 25 $203 +$197 +97%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 25 $306 +$290 +95%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 25 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner May 24 $203 −$54 -27%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner May 23 $102 +$97 +95%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 20 $203 −$121 -60%
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 08 $101 +$50 +50%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner May 08 $203 +$151 +74%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 07 $114 −$114 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 07 $203 +$272 +134%
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner May 04 $205 −$205 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 04 $199 +$156 +78%
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 04 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2 Winner May 03 $101 +$80 +79%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner May 03 $102 +$120 +118%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 03 $102 −$97 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 01 $101 +$80 +79%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner Apr 30 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 30 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 30 $62 +$193 +309%
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner Apr 27 $50 +$113 +226%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 23 $200 −$158 -79%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Apr 20 $98 −$98 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,006
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $102 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 55¢ $100 12h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 54¢ $101 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 40¢ $102 24h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY Galions 49¢ $4 2d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 67¢ $1 3d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner SELL PCIFIC 100¢ $408 3d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner BUY PCIFIC 46¢ $102 3d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner BUY PCIFIC 49¢ $203 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 51¢ $5 6d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 49¢ $102 6d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner BUY Movistar KOI 49¢ $203 7d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY JD Gaming 55¢ $101 7d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY JD Gaming 49¢ $102 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 53¢ $101 13d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 32¢ $102 13d
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $408 13d
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $102 13d
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 50¢ $102 13d
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner SELL GIANTX 100¢ $419 13d
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner BUY GIANTX 55¢ $101 13d
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner BUY GIANTX 42¢ $102 13d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs SELL LOUD 3¢ $16 19d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs BUY LOUD 31¢ $102 19d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs BUY LOUD 49¢ $102 19d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner SELL LOUD 100¢ $418 19d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner SELL LOS 100¢ $317 19d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 100¢ $400 19d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner BUY LOUD 33¢ $14 19d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner BUY LOUD 53¢ $203 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -31.9% -38.4% 25% 25% +10.9%
≤30d 24 -6.0% -14.9% 42% 42% +8.0%
≤90d 41 +5.6% -4.4% 46% 46% +3.7%
all 41 +5.6% -4.4% 46% 46% +3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.4% 46% +3.7%
10% -13.6% 46% -6.2%
15% -21.9% 46% -15.3%
20% -29.6% 44% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $256.28 · official $256.28 (match) · 98 history records