trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 83% | 33% | -5.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 80% | 35% | -20.2% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 81% | 38% | -19.7% |
| all | 21 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 81% | 38% | -19.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.3% | 38% | -19.7% |
| 10% | -12.5% | 24% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -21.0% | 14% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -28.7% | 10% | -40.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 27? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $242 | $293 | +$51 (+21%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 28? | No | 68¢ | 37¢ | $211 | $115 | −$97 (-46%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28? | No | 84¢ | 96¢ | $82 | $94 | +$12 (+14%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28? | No | 54¢ | 60¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+12%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28? | No | 81¢ | 97¢ | $8 | $10 | +$2 (+19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju | Jun 28 | $200 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju | Jun 27 | $97 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27? | Jun 27 | $9 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27? | Jun 27 | $125 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27? | Jun 27 | $182 | +$13 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 27? | Jun 27 | $501 | +$14 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27? | Jun 27 | $10 | +$11 | +103% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $504 | +$24 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $450 | +$56 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $453 | +$19 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $40 | −$38 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $3 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $16 | −$2 | -13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $1 | +$2 | +155% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $452 | +$17 | +4% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Jun 22 | $392 | +$61 | +16% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 21 | $377 | +$12 | +3% |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $87 | +$24 | +27% |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 07 | $1,072 | −$802 | -75% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? | May 26 | $60 | +$22 | +36% |