Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5074…a598
crypto · 1820 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,802 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,802 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,802
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1677 / 499
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2176 / 1820
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day251.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 2176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,143
7 days−$1,818
14 days−$1,802
30 days−$1,802
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$472
other 24% +$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 7m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2107 -17.3% -25.2% 76% 9% -25.2%
≤30d 2176 -16.6% -24.5% 77% 9% -24.6%
≤90d 2176 -16.6% -24.5% 77% 9% -24.6%
all 2176 -16.6% -24.5% 77% 9% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover251.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.5% 9% -24.6%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 2% -31.8%
15% -38.4% 1% -38.4%
20% -44.4% 1% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.23 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records