trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 100% | 0% | -6.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 44% | 11% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 44% | 11% | -5.8% |
| all | 29 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 45% | 3% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 3% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 3% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 3% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 3% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $59 | +$2 | +4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $6 | +$10 | +159% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 31 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 29 | $48 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 29 | $26 | $0 | -2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 29 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Enric Mas Nicolau win the Tour de France 2025? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 28 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe | May 27 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | May 21 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 | Mar 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 19 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 3? | Mar 02 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Osc | Mar 02 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will "Wicked" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards? | Mar 02 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on March 3? | Mar 02 | $8 | −$3 | -37% |
| Will 'Wicked' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards? | Mar 02 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 02 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Rice vs. UTSA | Mar 02 | $9 | $0 | +0% |