Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5080…d89a
crypto · 681 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,924 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,923 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$1,923
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses354 / 324
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions3
Markets (closed)678 / 681
History coverage150d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 678 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$81
14 days−$165
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 76¢ 76¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) Waldo Cortes-Acosta 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) Joaquin Buckley 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Yes 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Over 3.5 59¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 67¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $25 +$7 +30%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$4 -39%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -54%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$21 -41%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +10%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$35 -69%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $40 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $75 −$74 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 02 $65 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 02 $52 +$16 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 02 $32 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $23 +$10 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 02 $12 +$9 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $14 −$1 -6%
Rafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $67 −$67 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 02 $64 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 02 $35 +$29 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 02 $33 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 02 $55 −$23 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 02 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 02 $9 −$5 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $39 +$9 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 30 $36 −$13 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 30 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 30 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET May 30 $26 −$14 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET May 20 $60 −$23 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 20 $48 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 20 $41 −$22 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 20 $41 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 20 $12 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 20 $31 −$12 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET May 20 $62 +$19 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 20 $10 −$6 -61%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21? May 20 $0 +$1 +244%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? May 20 $71 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 19 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 19 $52 +$15 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 19 $31 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 19 $20 +$6 +30%
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-M May 19 $65 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 19 $70 −$3 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$1,685
sports 4% −$169
world 1% −$43
other 1% −$12
culture 0% −$20
politics 0% −$2
tech 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 76¢ $25 29m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $20 30m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $20 30m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 90¢ $32 59m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 11¢ $6 59m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 15¢ $5 59m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 70¢ $5 1h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY Yes 33¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $20 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $31 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $29 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $16 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $26 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $29 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 18h
Korea Republic leading at halftime? BUY Yes 27¢ $15 19h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $12 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -29.1% -35.9% 38% 31% -33.1%
≤30d 54 -8.7% -17.4% 50% 39% -19.2%
≤90d 340 -4.8% -13.9% 46% 41% -17.8%
all 678 -1.0% -10.5% 52% 45% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 45% -13.8%
10% -19.0% 35% -22.0%
15% -26.9% 25% -29.5%
20% -34.0% 18% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.46 · official $64.46 (match) · 2341 history records