Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:37:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x508a…9af5
crypto · 843 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$61 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses601 / 234
Open positions7
Markets (closed)835 / 843
History coverage10d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day85.0
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 835 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$39
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 56¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 44¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 26¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 58¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 35¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 80¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +351%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$10 +934%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +313%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$38
other 3% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 657 -1.3% -10.7% 72% 51% -11.9%
≤30d 835 +2.4% -7.4% 72% 54% -8.1%
≤90d 835 +2.4% -7.4% 72% 54% -8.1%
all 835 +2.4% -7.4% 72% 54% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 54% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 31% -16.9%
15% -24.3% 26% -25.0%
20% -31.8% 20% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.12 · official $7.75 · 1465 history records