Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x508c…987d
sports · 33 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses12 / 20
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)32 / 33
History coverage30d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$0
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Raul Brancaccio 41¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1 $0 -13%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $3 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $3 $0 -6%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +31%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 $0 +20%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 $0 +18%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 $0 +14%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 15? May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma May 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% $0
crypto 29% −$1
other 26% −$3
weather 4% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 41¢ $1 1m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ $1 12m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 52¢ $1 13m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 32¢ $1 43m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 38¢ $1 44m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 60¢ $1 57m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Daria Snigur 58¢ $1 59m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 65¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 41¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 47¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 52¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 28¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 27¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 16¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 18¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi SELL Elizabeth Mandlik 59¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 67¢ $1 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl SELL ONIC 100¢ $3 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY ONIC 84¢ $3 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 47¢ $4 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 7h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) SELL Bigetron by Vitality 81¢ $2 8h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) BUY Bigetron by Vitality 73¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -1.6% -11.0% 41% 30% -9.4%
≤30d 32 -13.1% -21.4% 38% 28% -17.7%
≤90d 32 -13.1% -21.4% 38% 28% -17.7%
all 32 -13.1% -21.4% 38% 28% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 28% -17.7%
10% -28.9% 9% -25.6%
15% -35.8% 0% -32.8%
20% -42.1% 0% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.85 · official $0.85 (match) · 71 history records