trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -38.4% | -44.2% | 25% | 25% | -2.8% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 35% | 35% | +11.9% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 35% | 35% | +11.9% |
| all | 23 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 35% | 35% | +11.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.5% | 35% | +11.9% |
| 10% | -34.5% | 30% | +1.2% |
| 15% | -40.8% | 30% | -8.6% |
| 20% | -46.6% | 22% | -17.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $60 | $62 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 81¢ | 28¢ | $25 | $9 | −$16 (-65%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $5 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$63 | +307% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $192 | −$14 | -7% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$71 | +70% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$48 | +157% |