Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50a7…e95d
crypto · 355 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,843 -333%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,844 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$258
Realized−$5,844
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses244 / 468
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)712 / 355
History coverage32d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 3 History 712 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,729
7 days−$5,719
14 days−$5,761
30 days−$5,841
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 44¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+127%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers 59¢ 65¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Angels 54¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+85%)
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Wolves 56¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$4 (+79%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs San Francisco Giants 60¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+67%)
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguet Roman Safiullin 63¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+59%)
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks Knicks 63¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+59%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Knicks 64¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+56%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 64¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+56%)
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics 76ers 67¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+49%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Raptors 66¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+52%)
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Mili Poljicak Buvaysar Gadamauri 71¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+41%)
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Nerman Fatic Zdenek Kolar 71¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+41%)
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates St. Louis Cardinals 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson Ryan Dickerson 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Sofia Costoulas Moyuka Uchijima 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Wuxi: Akira Santillan vs Coleman Wong Akira Santillan 72¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+39%)
Cagliari: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Istanbul: Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic Mia Ristic 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Noemi Basiletti Noemi Basiletti 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg Edas Butvilas 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs Rudolf Molleker Tom Gentzsch 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguet Jun 13 $5 +$3 +59%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks Jun 13 $5 +$3 +59%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics Jun 13 $5 +$2 +49%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Jun 13 $5 +$2 +52%
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Mili Poljicak Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Nerman Fatic Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Sofia Costoulas Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Wuxi: Akira Santillan vs Coleman Wong Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Cagliari: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Mayar She Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Istanbul: Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Noemi B Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs Rudolf Molleker Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Jiujiang: Coleman Wong vs Fajing Sun Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Francavilla: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotareva Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs T Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Wuxi: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ognjen Milic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Nishesh Basavareddy Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Eduardo Ribeiro Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +67%
BNB Up or Down - April 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -201%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on Apri Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$65
other 22% −$56
sports 5% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-55.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 477 -69.0% -72.0% 20% 20% -90.1%
≤30d 705 -50.8% -55.5% 34% 33% -79.6%
≤90d 712 -50.4% -55.1% 34% 33% -79.4%
all 712 -50.4% -55.1% 34% 33% -79.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -55.1% 33% -79.4%
10% -59.4% 28% -81.3%
15% -63.3% 18% -83.1%
20% -66.9% 10% -84.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $258.17 · official $255.80 (match) · 3500 history records