Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50b1…861b
sports · 215 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$5,669 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,669 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,669
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses127 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$4,193
Open positions0
Markets (closed)215 / 215
History coverage129d
Avg bet$2,019
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$195
7 days−$1,421
14 days−$10,256
30 days+$5,037
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 35¢ $2,376 $0 −$2,376 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 59¢ $1,238 $0 −$1,238 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 35¢ $3,500 $0 −$3,500 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 44¢ $880 $0 −$880 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 17¢ $1,140 $0 −$1,140 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Top Esports $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 77¢ $3,860 $0 −$3,860 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 15¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 29¢ $2,334 $0 −$2,334 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner RED Canids 29¢ $1,189 $0 −$1,189 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 15¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 15¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 72¢ $3,959 $0 −$3,959 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 74¢ $1,160 $0 −$1,160 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs BNK FEARX $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner Invictus Gaming 33¢ $1,640 $0 −$1,640 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 18¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 43¢ $361 $0 −$361 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner G2 Esports 60¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner RED Canids 44¢ $2,366 $0 −$2,366 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 80¢ $2,393 $0 −$2,393 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,620 +$628 +39%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,188 −$1,047 -88%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,283 +$614 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $322 −$72 -22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $15 −$1 -6%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,984 −$1,974 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3,964 −$3,959 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,292 +$1,156 +90%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $546 +$103 +19%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,773 +$770 +43%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,741 +$187 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $91 −$91 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $982 −$663 -68%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,133 +$365 +32%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2,365 +$370 +16%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,949 +$448 +23%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,108 −$1,106 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,700 −$1,390 -82%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,402 +$1,595 +114%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,400 +$539 +38%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,305 +$1,496 +115%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,483 +$286 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $691 +$328 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $147 −$147 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $555 −$510 -92%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $1,261 −$152 -12%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $989 −$10 -1%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1,013 −$10 -1%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $308 −$302 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $509 +$161 +32%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $658 +$699 +106%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $158 −$156 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $789 +$421 +53%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $1,253 −$1,238 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1,169 −$261 -22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $266 +$733 +276%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $523 −$517 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $320 −$317 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $2,075 −$1,756 -85%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $361 −$361 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $538 +$439 +82%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,232 +$222 +18%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,446 +$332 +23%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $82 −$42 -51%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $1,787 −$1,775 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $1,922 −$192 -10%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $2,339 −$2,334 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $4,796 −$1,466 -31%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $3,500 −$3,500 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$5,669
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $2,248 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $7 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $1,440 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $13 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $64 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $15 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $51 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $4 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $25 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $20 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $16 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $83 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $7 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $501 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $40 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -7.2% -16.0% 58% 58% -9.0%
≤30d 161 -0.9% -10.3% 61% 51% -7.7%
≤90d 203 -7.2% -16.0% 60% 48% -10.1%
all 215 -5.7% -14.6% 59% 48% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 48% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 36% -18.7%
15% -30.3% 27% -26.5%
20% -37.1% 18% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2445 history records