Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:28:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50b8…3fc9
sports · 118 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$260 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$206 · open −$54
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$244
Realized−$206
Unrealized−$54
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses73 / 33
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions12
Markets (closed)106 / 118
History coverage3d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day186.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 12 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$232
7 days−$206
14 days−$206
30 days−$206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 37¢ 100¢ $20 $55 +$35 (+173%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 56¢ 100¢ $14 $25 +$11 (+77%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 50¢ 68¢ $16 $22 +$6 (+36%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Johan Alexander Rodriguez 46¢ 100¢ $10 $21 +$11 (+115%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 63¢ 100¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+58%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 26¢ 28¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+12%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 45¢ 32¢ $16 $11 −$5 (-31%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Felix Balshaw 58¢ 73¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+25%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 34¢ 56¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+66%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 58¢ 72¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+24%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 65¢ 72¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+10%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 66¢ 66¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 62¢ 69¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+12%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 32¢ 27¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-15%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 75¢ 44¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-41%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 87¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+15%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Andrea Guerrieri 45¢ 28¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-36%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Tristan Schoolkate 33¢ 30¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Nuria Brancaccio 39¢ 34¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-13%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-99%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 7¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-99%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Panna Udvardy 72¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $26 +$3 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $30 +$15 +50%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $4 −$1 -30%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $12 $0 -3%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $6 +$11 +174%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $6 +$3 +46%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $33 +$7 +20%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $18 −$4 -20%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $10 −$4 -42%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $18 −$4 -22%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $6 −$1 -9%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $16 +$6 +38%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $41 +$3 +8%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $16 −$7 -42%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $12 +$4 +30%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $26 −$3 -13%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $18 −$4 -22%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $24 −$4 -16%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $65 +$37 +57%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $20 −$3 -14%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $12 +$2 +15%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $30 −$8 -28%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $16 −$3 -17%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $6 −$3 -44%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $16 +$1 +4%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $6 +$2 +32%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $4 +$3 +82%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 −$2 -26%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$258
other 2% +$2
crypto 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Tristan Schoolkate 24¢ $2 1m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 56¢ $2 2m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 63¢ $2 3m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $2 4m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $2 7m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 31¢ $2 9m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 70¢ $2 9m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 59¢ $2 11m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $2 13m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 66¢ $2 13m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 21¢ $2 13m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 36¢ $2 13m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 29¢ $2 13m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 74¢ $2 16m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 39¢ $2 17m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $2 18m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $2 19m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 56¢ $2 20m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 47¢ $2 21m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 56¢ $2 21m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 45¢ $2 22m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 84¢ $2 22m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 68¢ $2 24m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 61¢ $2 25m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 21¢ $2 27m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 28¢ $2 29m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 71¢ $2 29m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 37¢ $2 30m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 84¢ $2 32m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 55¢ $2 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 37% -17.9%
≤30d 106 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 37% -17.9%
≤90d 106 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 37% -17.9%
all 106 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 37% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 37% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 17% -25.7%
15% -24.2% 11% -32.9%
20% -31.6% 7% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $244.28 · official $244.17 (match) · 713 history records