trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -68.5% | -71.5% | 0% | 0% | -71.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -32.1% | -38.6% | 0% | 0% | -41.6% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 33% | 29% | +20.5% |
| all | 28 | +15.1% | +4.2% | 39% | 36% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.2% | 36% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -5.8% | 29% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -14.9% | 21% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -23.2% | 21% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 10¢ | 22¢ | $15 | $32 | +$17 (+111%) |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $151 | $10 | −$141 (-93%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$35 | -68% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $16 | −$4 | -27% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $44 | −$11 | -25% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $40 | −$3 | -8% |
| Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? | Apr 29 | $137 | +$13 | +10% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Apr 24 | $2,313 | +$1,898 | +82% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Apr 23 | $3,066 | +$799 | +26% |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Apr 23 | $890 | +$303 | +34% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Apr 23 | $2,096 | +$1,079 | +52% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Apr 19 | $929 | −$38 | -4% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Apr 16 | $1,020 | −$26 | -2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Apr 15 | $406 | +$295 | +73% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$2 | -20% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 07 | $1,728 | +$280 | +16% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $30 | −$6 | -20% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $18 | −$3 | -17% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $56 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $34 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 05 | $172 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 05 | $272 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 05 | $320 | −$2 | -1% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $23,108 | −$5,396 | -23% |
| dogwifhat on the sphere in 2025? | Sep 15 | $98 | −$34 | -34% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Aug 08 | $100 | −$17 | -18% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? | Aug 07 | $245 | +$339 | +138% |
| XRP all time high by June 30? | Jun 07 | $33 | +$6 | +18% |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on May 27? | May 25 | $208 | +$224 | +108% |
| Solana above $180 on May 23? | May 22 | $150 | +$216 | +144% |