Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:07:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
50 0x50cc…7d96 crypto 47 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (76 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1 (-2%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate74%35W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day76.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (76 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -7.7% -16.5% 74% 47% -17.0%
≤30d 47 -7.7% -16.5% 74% 47% -17.0%
≤90d 47 -7.7% -16.5% 74% 47% -17.0%
all 47 -7.7% -16.5% 74% 47% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 47% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 4% -24.9%
15% -31.8% 0% -32.2%
20% -38.5% 0% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses35 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day76.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 47 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 94 history records