Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50d4…263e
crypto · 493 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$357 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$354 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$33
Realized−$354
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses205 / 287
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)492 / 493
Avg bet$49
Trades / day245.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 492 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,223
7 days+$478
14 days−$354
30 days−$354
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 52¢ 48¢ $36 $33 −$3 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$23 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $264 +$616 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$23 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$125 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$35 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$11 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $123 −$77 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $68 +$58 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $148 −$79 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $124 −$18 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $102 −$33 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $81 +$24 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$12 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$26 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $76 +$28 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $200 +$45 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $128 +$58 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $90 +$31 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $55 +$15 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$8 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $341 +$236 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$255
sports 1% −$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $27 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $16 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $24 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -14.2% -22.3% 38% 36% -5.6%
≤30d 492 -15.8% -23.8% 42% 38% -10.8%
≤90d 492 -15.8% -23.8% 42% 38% -10.8%
all 492 -15.8% -23.8% 42% 38% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover245.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 38% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 35% -19.4%
15% -37.7% 29% -27.2%
20% -43.8% 23% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.21 · official $38.11 · 3500 history records