trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | May 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | May 13 | $1 | +$1 | +55% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | May 13 | $5 | +$3 | +60% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | May 13 | $1 | +$1 | +89% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 9 | -44.1% | -49.4% | 33% | 33% | -42.5% |
| all | 9 | -44.1% | -49.4% | 33% | 33% | -42.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.4% | 33% | -42.5% |
| 10% | -54.2% | 33% | -48.0% |
| 15% | -58.7% | 33% | -53.0% |
| 20% | -62.7% | 33% | -57.6% |