Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50ea…88cc
crypto · 823 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses463 / 364
Open positions0
Markets (closed)827 / 823
Avg bet$24
Trades / day297.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 827 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$173
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -2888%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2595%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -840%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$7 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 667 +10.0% -0.5% 55% 46% -10.5%
≤30d 827 +9.7% -0.7% 56% 46% -9.6%
≤90d 827 +9.7% -0.7% 56% 46% -9.6%
all 827 +9.7% -0.7% 56% 46% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover297.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 46% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 36% -18.3%
15% -18.9% 23% -26.2%
20% -26.9% 15% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.17 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records