Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:47:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50ea…5963
crypto · 99 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,043 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,006 · open −$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,065
Realized−$1,006
Unrealized−$37
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses54 / 95
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)149 / 99
History coverage1d
Avg bet$196
Trades / day3404.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,006
7 days−$1,006
14 days−$1,006
30 days−$1,006
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $376 $1,026 +$650 (+173%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $373 $709 +$336 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $303 $465 +$162 (+53%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $223 $318 +$95 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $125 $268 +$143 (+114%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 65¢ 78¢ $115 $137 +$21 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 62¢ 68¢ $58 $64 +$6 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 38¢ 22¢ $60 $35 −$24 (-41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 41¢ 32¢ $33 $25 −$8 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 45¢ 74¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 60¢ 26¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $631 −$631 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $327 −$327 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$514
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $34 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-38.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -32.5% -38.9% 36% 6% -13.9%
≤30d 149 -32.5% -38.9% 36% 6% -13.9%
≤90d 149 -32.5% -38.9% 36% 6% -13.9%
all 149 -32.5% -38.9% 36% 6% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3404.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.9% 6% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -44.8% 3% -22.2%
15% -50.1% 2% -29.7%
20% -55.0% 2% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,064.61 · official $3,055.12 (match) · 3500 history records