Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:24:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50ef…0236
crypto · 1993 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$145 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$145 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$145
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses1045 / 854
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1899 / 1993
History coverage37d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day55.2
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1899 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$94
14 days+$8
30 days+$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 10 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $101 +$9 +9%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? Jun 10 $26 −$21 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $54 −$25 -46%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $74 +$5 +7%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$3 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$185
finance 2% −$45
other 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -54.5% -58.8% 33% 14% -25.8%
≤30d 1892 +2.9% -6.9% 55% 55% -7.6%
≤90d 1899 +2.9% -6.9% 55% 55% -7.6%
all 1899 +2.9% -6.9% 55% 55% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 55% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 54% -16.4%
15% -24.0% 54% -24.5%
20% -31.4% 54% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3283 history records