Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50f2…1bb9
crypto · 70 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$69 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$20
Realized+$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses36 / 33
Open positions1
Markets (closed)69 / 70
Avg bet$53
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$78
14 days+$78
30 days+$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 33¢ 32¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $224 +$46 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $144 −$135 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$12 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$33 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$43 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$24 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$29 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$25 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$63 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$82 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$65 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$20 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $286 −$187 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $102 −$20 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $102 +$37 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $102 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$39 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $103 +$66 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $73 −$32 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $153 +$41 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$40 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$83 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$59 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$22 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$37 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$21 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $47 +$48 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $41 +$42 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $153 +$49 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $93 +$39 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $203 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $9 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $41 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $19 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $188 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $152 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $147 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +5.5% -4.5% 54% 52% -7.5%
≤30d 69 +1.5% -8.2% 52% 49% -7.8%
≤90d 69 +1.5% -8.2% 52% 49% -7.8%
all 69 +1.5% -8.2% 52% 49% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 49% -7.8%
10% -17.0% 46% -16.6%
15% -25.0% 38% -24.6%
20% -32.4% 28% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.70 · official $30.00 · 197 history records