Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:22:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
51 0x510a…d77f crypto 980 markets active 5d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (311 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$12,613 (+27%) realized +$12,613 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate20%199W / 781L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$48per market
Trades / day311.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$207
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (311 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 38% -14.3%
≤30d 980 -0.9% -10.4% 20% 7% -9.9%
≤90d 980 -0.9% -10.4% 20% 7% -9.9%
all 980 -0.9% -10.4% 20% 7% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover311.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 7% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 4% -18.5%
15% -26.8% 3% -26.4%
20% -34.0% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
66% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$12,613
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses199 / 781
Open positions0
Markets (closed)980 / 980
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$48
Trades / day311.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 980 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records