Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x510c…3239
sports · 350 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$347 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$338 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$81
Realized−$338
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses206 / 139
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions5
Markets (closed)345 / 350
History coverage82d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day12.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 5 History 345 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days+$6
14 days−$44
30 days−$285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 4 Winner Estral Esports 50¢ 50¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 94¢ 97¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No 95¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Verso Time - Game 5 Winner Verso Time 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes 69¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-28%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$6 -62%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $3 +$4 +140%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +114%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $12 +$24 +195%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Will Fuego win LRN 2026 Split 1? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 +$3 +82%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $8 +$1 +16%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $3 −$1 -22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$3 +89%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $3 +$2 +51%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 08 $15 −$5 -33%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $18 $0 -1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$11 +178%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $3 −$2 -58%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Verso Time - Game 5 Winner Jun 07 $3 $0 +0%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $15 +$19 +124%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $6 $0 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $18 −$10 -56%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $8 +$1 +15%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$2 +15%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $8 +$1 +13%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $15 −$7 -48%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $3 +$1 +44%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $22 −$13 -60%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $12 +$5 +40%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) Jun 06 $6 +$3 +52%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Cha Jun 06 $38 +$20 +53%
Map Handicap: SWIM (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (+1.5) Jun 06 $6 +$7 +122%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$1 +24%
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $3 $0 +4%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $3 +$5 +163%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 05 $21 +$50 +240%
LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $21 −$16 -79%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 02 $81 −$24 -30%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $12 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$255
crypto 16% +$29
other 9% +$27
world 3% −$20
weather 2% −$43
politics 2% +$1
tech 2% −$62
finance 1% −$24
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $4 24m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $3 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 47¢ $3 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $3 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $3 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 32¢ $4 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $3 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $3 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $3 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $3 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $3 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $3 7h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 65¢ $3 44h
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY Global Esports 44¢ $3 47h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $7 47h
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W BUY EDward Gaming Youth Team 50¢ $2 2d
Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 45¢ $1 2d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $3 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $3 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $3 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $3 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 93¢ $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 100¢ $6 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 53¢ $3 3d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou SELL FUT Esports 58¢ $2 3d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY FUT Esports 71¢ $3 4d
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage BUY NightBirds 85¢ $4 4d
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage BUY NightBirds 85¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -2.9% -12.2% 50% 45% -7.8%
≤30d 247 -9.0% -17.7% 53% 43% -18.0%
≤90d 345 -6.3% -15.2% 60% 39% -16.3%
all 345 -6.3% -15.2% 60% 39% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 39% -16.3%
10% -23.3% 33% -24.3%
15% -30.8% 28% -31.6%
20% -37.5% 19% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.54 · official $80.54 (match) · 1433 history records