Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:57:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x5116…ce22
sports · 44 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$57 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses23 / 19
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)42 / 44
History coverage60d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Raducanu 60¢ 59¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Denis Shapovalov 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cuenin Sean Cuenin 49¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Amir Omarkhanov Amir Omarkhanov 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrez Elisabetta Cocciaretto 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodesch Rinky Hijikata 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Dominika Salkova vs Tatjana Maria Dominika Salkova 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva Iga Swiatek 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Roman Safiullin Valentin Royer 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic Alex de Minaur 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan Daniel Altmaier 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Assche Luca Van Assche 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echargui Aleksandar Kovacevic 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rome: Henri Squire vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Apr 20 $10 −$1 -11%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika Erjavec Apr 20 $10 +$6 +61%
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cuenin Apr 20 $13 −$13 -98%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Nicolas Jarry Apr 20 $10 −$3 -28%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echargui Apr 20 $10 −$10 -99%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodesch Apr 20 $10 −$10 -99%
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Amir Omarkhanov Apr 19 $7 −$7 -99%
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton Apr 19 $10 +$9 +93%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova Apr 19 $10 +$4 +44%
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Roman Safiullin Apr 19 $10 −$10 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Car Apr 19 $10 +$4 +38%
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flywei Apr 19 $10 +$3 +34%
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Pr Apr 18 $10 −$10 -97%
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Carlos Prado Apr 18 $10 −$1 -6%
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedy Apr 18 $10 +$3 +34%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva Apr 18 $10 +$9 +86%
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton Apr 17 $10 +$10 +97%
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Kopriva Apr 17 $10 +$4 +44%
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Apr 17 $10 +$4 +38%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva Apr 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Katie Boulter Apr 17 $10 −$10 -99%
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Apr 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanch Apr 17 $1 +$2 +180%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreeva Apr 16 $10 +$5 +46%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens Apr 16 $10 +$5 +52%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika P Apr 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Apr 16 $10 $0 -2%
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Assche Apr 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Wuning 2: Blake Ellis vs Mikhail Kukushkin Apr 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Santa Cruz: Luis Guto Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Apr 16 $10 +$4 +38%
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan Apr 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Dominika Salkova vs Tatjana Maria Apr 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristian Apr 15 $10 +$2 +19%
Tallahassee: Cannon Kingsley vs Michael Mmoh Apr 15 $10 +$4 +37%
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Apr 15 $10 +$3 +31%
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn Apr 15 $10 +$4 +36%
Oeiras 3: Greet Minnen vs Petra Marcinko Apr 15 $10 +$3 +30%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Noma Noha Akugue Apr 15 $10 +$5 +50%
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Apr 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Tallahassee: Stefan Kozlov vs Alex Rybakov Apr 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic Apr 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Alina Char Apr 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $5 1h
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 60¢ $5 1h
Rome: Henri Squire vs Stefanos Sakellaridis SELL Stefanos Sakellaridis 56¢ $9 53d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika Erjavec SELL Tyra Caterina Grant 72¢ $16 53d
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cuenin BUY Sean Cuenin 48¢ $3 53d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Nicolas Jarry SELL Cristian Garin 50¢ $7 53d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echargui BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 62¢ $10 53d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodesch BUY Rinky Hijikata 52¢ $10 53d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Nicolas Jarry BUY Cristian Garin 69¢ $10 54d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Tyra Caterina Grant 44¢ $10 54d
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cuenin BUY Sean Cuenin 49¢ $10 54d
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Amir Omarkhanov BUY Amir Omarkhanov 52¢ $7 54d
Rome: Henri Squire vs Stefanos Sakellaridis BUY Stefanos Sakellaridis 62¢ $10 54d
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton BUY Ben Shelton 51¢ $10 54d
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Roman Safiullin BUY Valentin Royer 59¢ $10 54d
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova BUY Elena Rybakina 69¢ $10 54d
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Pr SELL Jamey-Lyn Horth 2¢ $0 55d
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Carlos Prado SELL Hugo Dellien 64¢ $9 55d
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flywei BUY Jasmine Jasudavicius 74¢ $10 55d
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Pr BUY Jamey-Lyn Horth 64¢ $10 55d
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Car BUY Mike Malott 72¢ $10 55d
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedy SELL Jack Kennedy 60¢ $13 55d
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Carlos Prado BUY Hugo Dellien 67¢ $10 55d
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedy BUY Jack Kennedy 44¢ $10 55d
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Elena Rybakina 53¢ $10 55d
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $10 56d
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo SELL Alexander Zverev 99¢ $14 56d
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Iga Swiatek 65¢ $10 56d
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 66¢ $10 56d
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan BUY Denis Shapovalov 54¢ $10 56d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 42 -10.1% -18.6% 55% 52% -22.1%
all 42 -10.1% -18.6% 55% 52% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 52% -22.1%
10% -26.4% 45% -29.5%
15% -33.5% 36% -36.3%
20% -40.0% 14% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.97 · official $9.92 (match) · 75 history records