trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 22 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? | Jun 22 | $988 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $1,000 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $1,027 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorn | May 23 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | May 23 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 23 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 20 | $798 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 20 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 20 | $775 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec genera | May 20 | $758 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? | May 19 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran? | May 19 | $805 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $845 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 19 | $777 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec | May 18 | $856 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 18 | $830 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $766 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | Apr 04 | $133 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 04 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 04 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 01 | $155 | $0 | -0% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 01 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Apr 01 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Mar 27 | $166 | $0 | -0% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Mar 27 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31? | Mar 27 | $25 | $0 | -0% |