trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 11% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 24 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 02 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 17 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 10 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 07 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 18 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Mar 20 | $213 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Mar 18 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 15 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $426 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | Mar 10 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 08 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 06 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 04 | $213 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Feb 28 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 01 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | Jan 30 | $214 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 29 | $201 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 06 | $206 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 03 | $205 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $207 | $0 | -0% |