trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 50% | 50% | +80.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 50% | 50% | +80.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 50% | 50% | +80.6% |
| all | 51 | +13.2% | +2.5% | 41% | 41% | +18.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.5% | 41% | +18.9% |
| 10% | -7.3% | 39% | +7.5% |
| 15% | -16.3% | 37% | -2.9% |
| 20% | -24.5% | 35% | -12.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $30 | $35 | +$5 (+16%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $27 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $10 | −$4 (-30%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $203 | +$222 | +109% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 09 | $70 | +$998 | +1426% |
| Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | Feb 04 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Trump say “Sleepy Joe” by February 28? | Feb 04 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 26 | $20 | +$23 | +113% |
| Spread: Patriots (-4.5) | Jan 23 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Texans | Jan 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 15 | $20 | +$11 | +54% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 12 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Jan 11 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $20 | +$23 | +117% |
| Rams vs. Panthers | Jan 10 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Bears | Jan 05 | $20 | +$37 | +186% |
| Dolphins vs. Patriots | Jan 04 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Broncos | Jan 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Raiders | Jan 04 | $40 | +$27 | +67% |
| Jaguars vs. Colts | Dec 29 | $80 | +$57 | +72% |
| Eagles vs. Bills | Dec 29 | $30 | −$16 | -55% |
| Bears vs. 49ers | Dec 28 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Dec 28 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Ravens | Dec 22 | $55 | +$141 | +257% |
| Falcons vs. Cardinals | Dec 22 | $85 | +$90 | +106% |
| Steelers vs. Lions | Dec 21 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys | Dec 21 | $25 | +$56 | +223% |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos | Dec 21 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 14 | $126 | +$74 | +59% |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Dec 08 | $163 | −$163 | -100% |
| Bears vs. Packers | Dec 07 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Vikings | Dec 07 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Saints vs. Buccaneers | Dec 07 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Bengals vs. Bills | Dec 07 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Bengals vs. Ravens | Dec 07 | $40 | +$138 | +345% |
| Packers vs. Lions | Nov 27 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 27 | $73 | −$24 | -33% |
| Lions vs. Eagles | Nov 17 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Rams | Nov 16 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Bills | Nov 16 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3? | Nov 07 | $10 | +$2 | +19% |
| Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 214.5 | Jun 22 | $258 | −$258 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | Jan 27 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Chiefs | Jan 27 | $108 | +$92 | +85% |
| Commanders vs. Buccaneers | Jan 20 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Ravens | Jan 20 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Jan 20 | $162 | +$38 | +24% |
| Vikings vs. Lions | Jan 11 | $180 | +$125 | +70% |
| Lions vs. 49ers | Jan 02 | $195 | +$105 | +54% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | Dec 30 | $100 | +$100 | +100% |
| Titans vs. Colts | Dec 23 | $64 | +$36 | +56% |