Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:05:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x517a…6491
sports · 449 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$58 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$211 · open −$156
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,051
Realized+$211
Unrealized−$156
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses199 / 192
Est. fees paid−$102
Open positions127
Markets (closed)391 / 449
History coverage14d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day210.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 127 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$221
7 days+$255
14 days+$67
30 days+$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $306 $303 −$3 (-1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 62¢ 92¢ $54 $80 +$26 (+48%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? No 54¢ 30¢ $131 $75 −$56 (-43%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $51 $51 −$0 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $18 $38 +$21 (+117%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $36 $30 −$6 (-17%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ 48¢ $31 $29 −$1 (-5%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $23 $22 −$0 (-1%)
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Over 64¢ 61¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-4%)
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 39¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 94¢ 94¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Over 56¢ 55¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 34¢ 8¢ $37 $8 −$29 (-78%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? No 39¢ 36¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+32%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? No 23¢ 24¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $34 −$14 -42%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $22 +$42 +194%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $33 +$2 +8%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $15 −$4 -25%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $8 −$2 -31%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 −$2 -12%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $14 +$47 +325%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $20 +$21 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $13 +$4 +32%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$5 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 +$21 +550%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $26 +$14 +53%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$4 +152%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$4 +90%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $85 +$109 +128%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $46 −$10 -21%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $33 −$10 -29%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? Jun 12 $15 +$3 +20%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $37 +$16 +43%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $37 +$8 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $47 +$1 +2%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +197%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $21 +$23 +109%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$5 +129%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $9 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$392
other 16% +$526
world 9% −$31
politics 4% −$47
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 26m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 26m
Spread: Spain (-2.5) BUY Spain 52¢ $4 26m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 26m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 27m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 27m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 33m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 34m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 35m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 36m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 37m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 21¢ $5 37m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 80¢ $5 37m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 80¢ $5 37m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 38m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 38m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 38m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 38m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 80¢ $5 38m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 80¢ $5 38m
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $4 39m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 72¢ $4 40m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Over 58¢ $5 45m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 66¢ $5 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 45m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 30¢ $4 47m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 78¢ $5 47m
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Knicks 33¢ $3 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +20.6% +9.1% 58% 49% +14.0%
≤30d 391 +20.3% +8.9% 51% 45% -7.4%
≤90d 391 +20.3% +8.9% 51% 45% -7.4%
all 391 +20.3% +8.9% 51% 45% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover210.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.9% 45% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -1.6% 39% -16.2%
15% -11.1% 32% -24.3%
20% -19.8% 27% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,051.01 · official $1,051.02 (match) · 3500 history records