Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x5194…1040
crypto · 44 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses12 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day45.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$40 +536%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$16 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +136%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $20 +$9 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$34
world 8% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-44.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -38.5% -44.3% 27% 25% -18.3%
≤30d 44 -38.5% -44.3% 27% 25% -18.3%
≤90d 44 -38.5% -44.3% 27% 25% -18.3%
all 44 -38.5% -44.3% 27% 25% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.3% 25% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -49.6% 25% -26.2%
15% -54.5% 25% -33.3%
20% -59.0% 23% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 73 history records