Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51a3…b7f4
crypto · 754 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$800 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$800 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$800
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses264 / 490
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)754 / 754
History coverage51d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 754 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$147
7 days−$30
14 days−$269
30 days−$524
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$18 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$17 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$11 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$19 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$35 +306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$33 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +44%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $63 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$29 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $47 −$12 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$23 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$12 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$32 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$23 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$15 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$25 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$5 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$800
sports 0% +$1
other 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -4.5% -13.6% 39% 35% -10.3%
≤30d 382 -18.9% -26.6% 36% 32% -17.2%
≤90d 754 -15.8% -23.8% 35% 33% -15.2%
all 754 -15.8% -23.8% 35% 33% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 33% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 30% -23.3%
15% -37.8% 26% -30.7%
20% -43.9% 23% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records