trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +17.6% | +6.4% | 100% | 100% | +6.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 40% | 40% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 40% | 40% | -9.8% |
| all | 366 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 47% | 39% | -4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 39% | -4.5% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 38% | -13.7% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 37% | -22.0% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 36% | -29.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Jun 25 | $42 | +$7 | +18% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 22 | $11 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $4 | +$9 | +194% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Mar 28 | $29 | +$22 | +75% |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | Mar 28 | $32 | +$31 | +95% |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5) | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Mar 28 | $147 | −$146 | -100% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | Mar 27 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 27 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5) | Mar 27 | $29 | +$25 | +88% |
| Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5) | Mar 27 | $7 | +$5 | +78% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Mar 27 | $53 | +$63 | +119% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Mar 26 | $29 | −$28 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Mar 06 | $29 | +$18 | +61% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) | Mar 06 | $19 | +$19 | +104% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 26 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 25 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) | Jan 20 | $30 | +$27 | +92% |
| Miami vs. Indiana | Jan 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5 | Jan 19 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 | Jan 19 | $29 | +$32 | +108% |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) | Jan 18 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | Jan 12 | $35 | +$39 | +112% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 12 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 11 | $5 | +$5 | +115% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 | Jan 11 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | Jan 11 | $8 | +$6 | +77% |
| Rams vs. Panthers | Jan 11 | $3 | +$1 | +19% |
| Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5 | Jan 11 | $7 | +$8 | +122% |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) | Jan 10 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Jan 10 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 10 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Jan 09 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Spread: Bengals (-7.5) | Jan 05 | $5 | +$5 | +113% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Jan 05 | $10 | +$21 | +209% |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | Jan 05 | $13 | +$22 | +170% |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | Jan 05 | $8 | +$2 | +24% |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) | Jan 05 | $8 | +$5 | +70% |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | Jan 04 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | Jan 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5 | Jan 04 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | Jan 04 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | Jan 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | Jan 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Bears | Jan 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-1.5) | Jan 04 | $11 | +$9 | +75% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jan 04 | $58 | +$40 | +70% |