Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51bb…f625
sports · 544 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,253 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,253 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$70
Realized−$2,253
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses256 / 281
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$126
Open positions7
Markets (closed)537 / 544
History coverage343d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 7 History 537 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$100
14 days−$149
30 days−$1,683
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 52¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 53¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs EDward Gaming 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner EDward Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 +$50 +980%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $46 +$20 +43%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$24 +474%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $61 −$60 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$6 +31%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $506 +$138 +27%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $53 −$52 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $26 +$8 +29%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$6 +57%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $12 −$12 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$12 +118%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$16 +81%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $34 +$20 +57%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$8 +39%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$6 +30%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $20 +$10 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $20 +$6 +32%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $36 +$6 +17%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $29 +$7 +23%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $30 −$1 -4%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $50 −$49 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $22 −$22 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $69 −$68 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $50 −$50 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $10 −$8 -78%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $20 +$10 +50%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $30 +$20 +64%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $31 −$10 -33%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $13 −$13 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $10 +$9 +93%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $12 +$11 +89%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $40 −$40 -99%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $50 +$11 +21%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 30 $20 +$11 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$2,275
other 1% +$23
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 100¢ $55 10h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 13h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $67 17h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $46 27h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $61 28h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 2d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 2d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 83¢ $20 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 65¢ $20 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $644 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 78¢ $506 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 50¢ $29 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 45¢ $20 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 95¢ $34 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 100¢ $16 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 42¢ $2 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $10 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 60¢ $10 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 100¢ $22 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +26.7% +14.6% 48% 48% +0.1%
≤30d 210 -31.7% -38.2% 32% 31% -34.5%
≤90d 470 -17.6% -25.5% 41% 39% -32.5%
all 537 -8.0% -16.7% 48% 45% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 45% -17.0%
10% -24.7% 40% -24.9%
15% -32.0% 29% -32.2%
20% -38.6% 22% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.97 · official $69.97 (match) · 1206 history records