Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T09:27:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
51 0x51cc…2e33 crypto 559 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (272 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$718 (-15%) realized −$718 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate47%261W / 298L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day272.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$850
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (272 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 559 -12.9% -21.2% 47% 46% -25.7%
≤30d 559 -12.9% -21.2% 47% 46% -25.7%
≤90d 559 -12.9% -21.2% 47% 46% -25.7%
all 559 -12.9% -21.2% 47% 46% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover272.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 46% -25.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 44% -32.8%
15% -35.6% 41% -39.3%
20% -41.9% 34% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$9 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$718
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses261 / 298
Open positions0
Markets (closed)559 / 559
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day272.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 559 Trades
no open positions (272 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $41 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $14 +$9 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 24 $46 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 24 $37 +$27 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $7 +$11 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$7 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$7 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$9 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$6 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $37 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 846 history records