trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 50% | 50% | -2.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -22.5% | -29.9% | 45% | 45% | +12.2% |
| ≤90d | 88 | -15.9% | -24.0% | 45% | 45% | -4.6% |
| all | 123 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 50% | 50% | -4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 50% | -4.1% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 50% | -13.2% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 49% | -21.6% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 49% | -29.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Under | 57¢ | 18¢ | $855 | $278 | −$577 (-68%) |
| Uruguay leading at halftime? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Over | 48¢ | 48¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Cabo Verde | 48¢ | 46¢ | $48 | $46 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $24 | $24 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $23 | $22 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $13 | $12 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $13 | $12 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Cabo Verde leading at halftime? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Under | 55¢ | 0¢ | $275 | $0 | −$275 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5 | Under | 61¢ | 0¢ | $304 | $0 | −$304 (-100%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $130 | $0 | −$130 (-100%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Under | 53¢ | 0¢ | $265 | $0 | −$265 (-100%) |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Cavaliers | 56¢ | 0¢ | $448 | $0 | −$448 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $133 | −$130 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $269 | −$265 | -99% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $279 | −$275 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,624 | +$376 | +23% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $406 | +$294 | +72% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Jun 11 | $446 | +$254 | +57% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 27 | $672 | +$728 | +108% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5 | May 26 | $305 | −$304 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | May 25 | $454 | −$448 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | May 24 | $2,109 | +$1,891 | +90% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 22 | $422 | −$414 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 11 | $414 | +$306 | +74% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | May 07 | $203 | +$157 | +77% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | May 05 | $199 | −$199 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | May 03 | $500 | +$500 | +100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) | May 03 | $199 | −$199 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Apr 28 | $400 | +$308 | +77% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Apr 25 | $448 | +$261 | +58% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | Apr 23 | $392 | −$392 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | Apr 20 | $392 | +$316 | +81% |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Apr 18 | $424 | −$424 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Apr 16 | $400 | +$308 | +77% |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Apr 15 | $392 | +$316 | +81% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5) | Apr 13 | $212 | −$212 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-14.5) | Apr 13 | $200 | −$40 | -20% |
| Spread: Raptors (-23.5) | Apr 13 | $212 | +$142 | +67% |
| Spread: Pistons (-14.5) | Apr 13 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | Apr 13 | $212 | +$142 | +67% |
| Spread: 76ers (-15.5) | Apr 13 | $208 | +$146 | +70% |
| Spread: Magic (-12.5) | Apr 13 | $208 | −$208 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-15.5) | Apr 11 | $192 | −$133 | -69% |
| Spread: 76ers (-15.5) | Apr 11 | $188 | −$122 | -65% |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Apr 11 | $392 | +$316 | +81% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-23.5) | Apr 09 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-10.5) | Apr 09 | $216 | +$138 | +64% |
| Spread: Pistons (-20.5) | Apr 09 | $212 | +$142 | +67% |
| Spread: Warriors (-14.5) | Apr 08 | $392 | +$316 | +81% |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) | Apr 08 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Spread: Pelicans (-7.5) | Apr 08 | $254 | −$254 | -100% |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5) | Apr 08 | $196 | −$196 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Apr 06 | $200 | +$154 | +77% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5) | Apr 06 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-24.5) | Apr 06 | $208 | +$146 | +70% |
| Spread: Suns (-11.5) | Apr 06 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-18.5) | Apr 05 | $200 | −$40 | -20% |
| Spread: Raptors (-14.5) | Apr 04 | $196 | +$164 | +84% |
| Spread: Celtics (-17.5) | Apr 04 | $192 | −$192 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-18.5) | Apr 04 | $200 | +$154 | +77% |
| Spread: Hawks (-16.5) | Apr 04 | $196 | −$196 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-15.5) | Apr 04 | $200 | +$154 | +77% |