Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:41:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
51 0x51cf…f320 crypto 1166 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (257 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$310 (-2%) realized −$310 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate94%1097W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day257.4pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$404
7 days−$337
14 days−$323
30 days−$323
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$317
other 3% −$17
sports 1% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (257 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 448 -1.8% -11.2% 93% 5% -15.7%
≤30d 1166 -0.6% -10.1% 94% 8% -11.3%
≤90d 1166 -0.6% -10.1% 94% 8% -11.3%
all 1166 -0.6% -10.1% 94% 8% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover257.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 8% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 2% -19.8%
15% -26.5% 1% -27.5%
20% -33.7% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$21 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1097 / 69
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1166 / 1166
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day257.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1166 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $61 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 15h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records