trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -14.8% | -23.0% | 39% | 39% | +8.2% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 42% | 42% | +15.2% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 42% | 42% | +15.2% |
| all | 24 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 42% | 42% | +15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 42% | +15.2% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 42% | +4.2% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 42% | -5.9% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 25% | -15.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$8 | -81% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Jun 21 | $5 | +$6 | +110% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$63 | +124% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$149 | +291% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $31 | +$76 | +249% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$29 | -96% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $51 | +$86 | +170% |